Experienced betting analyzers

Experienced betting analyzers. Above all, the nature of a soccer match, of course, is unpredictable. Therefore that’s why we love the game, right? Still. However, I was somewhat obsessed with the naive notion that I, armed with a data-driven machine learning model, would be able to predict games better than I normally would. Therefore, I based most of my sports bets on emotions (“gut feelings”) rather than actual data.

The first challenge was to find out how to measure whether or not my model was succeeding. I quickly realized that measuring the actual percentage of correctly guessed games didn’t add much value — not without some form of context. I decided to compare the model’s output with the best guesses of the actual market. The easiest way to assess such data was to harvest market regulated odds. Therefore, I started comparing how my model would perform if betting on Betfair, only because their odds are adjusted based on real people betting real money against each other.

Experienced betting analyzers and best tipsters